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03/10/2010 - Buffalo, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Thomas Vanek scored the eventual game-winner midway through the second period, as the Buffalo Sabres continued their recent dominance over the Dallas Stars with a 5-3 victory at HSBC Arena.
The Sabres have won five straight against the Stars, with Dallas' last win in the series coming on March 31, 2003. In addition, the Stars haven't won in Buffalo since October 7, 1997.
Tyler Myers had a goal and three assists for the Sabres, who have won three in a row for the first time since a six-game burst from December 27-January 8. Derek Roy and Mark Mancari each had a goal and an assist. Jason Pominville had the other score for the victors.
Ryan Miller made 17 saves to pick up the win.
Jamie Benn had a goal and an assist for the Stars, who have dropped four of five. Toby Petersen and Steve Ott had a goal apiece. Marty Turco turned aside 38-of-42 shots in defeat.
With the score deadlocked at 3-3 in the second, Vanek lit the lamp at the 10:05 mark to put the Sabres ahead. Following Myers' shot from the right point, Mancari gathered the puck behind the cage and slid a pass in front for Vanek, whose snap shot settled under the crossbar.
Miller made five saves in the second to keep Buffalo in front 4-3 heading to the third and stopped six shots over the final 20 minutes. Roy scored an empty-net goal with 17.4 seconds remaining to seal the victory.
Myers got a high-scoring first period started with a goal just 55 seconds in. His slapper from the right point made its way through heavy traffic in front to get past Turco.
The Stars made it a 1-1 game on Petersen's goal at the 2:59 mark. Trevor Daley's shot from the left circle was deflected in by Petersen. However, Buffalo went back in front at 7:49 on Mancari's first goal of the year.
Ott tied things up again with a wrister from the slot with 7:32 remaining in the opening stanza. The Stars then went up 3-2 on Benn's wrister from the left circle.
The Sabres got a score from Pominville with just under a minute left to make it a 3-3 contest heading to the second. Myers' shot from the point was deflected in front by Pominville.
Game Notes
This was the lone meeting of the season between Buffalo and Dallas...Each team went 0-for-2 on the power play.
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The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.
While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.
For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.
1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.
2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.
How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.
Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.
Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.
How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).
Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.
Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.
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